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Tuesday, September 28, 2021

BJP trying to win on many fronts at once, know the math of ethnic votes of new ministers

The BJP government has tried to win on many fronts simultaneously with the expansion of the cabinet. Efforts are also in detail to make up for the possible loss due to the separation of Subhaspa President Om Prakash Rajbhar, especially the BJP ally in the last assembly elections. The leaders of allies of Rajbhar will now face the challenge of saving Prajapati, Bind, Bari, Pal fraternity.

There are more caste-based parties in Om Prakash Rajbhar's alliance of SubhaSP, which is moving ahead with the participation of eleven parties, the Sankalp Morcha. Participation of Premchandra Prajapati Sankalp Party (P), Ram Sagar Bind's Bharat Mata Party, Babu Ram Pal's Rashtra Uday Party, Ramkaran Kashyap's Bharatiya Vanchit Samaj Party, Satish Banjara's Bharatiya Suraksha Party, Rajkumar Saini's Democracy Suraksha Party, Ramnaresh Bari Along with the Janhit Samaj Party, parties of big leaders like Babu Singh Kushwaha, Asaduddin Owaisi are also involved.
BJP will join the castes of the constituent parties of Partnership Sankalp Morcha

Apart from the most backward castes Rajbhar, this front is engaged in making rapid inroads among castes like Prajapati, Bind, Bari, Pal, Kashyap, Banjara, Arkavanshi. By including Prajapati, Bind, Gaur, Khatik in the cabinet expansion done by the BJP government of the state a few months before the elections, the BJP has done the work of making the morcha of Rajbhar breathless. Now in the team of BJP ministers, there is also representation of backward castes like Bind, Gurjar, Gadaria, Nishad, Chauhan, Saini, Lodh, which will act as a cut of the caste parties involved in the Partnership Sankalp Morcha.

Mathematics of ethnic votes of new ministers

Brahmins - about 10 percent
Dalits - about 21.5%
Kurmi - about 05 percent
Prajapati - 3.9 percent
Bind - 1.9 percent

Rajbhar voters in the power of big reversal in many seats of Purvanchal

In the 2022 assembly elections, the mobilization of three castes with huge vote power in Purvanchal will make a big difference. Out of these two castes, Kurmi and Nishad (Majwara) parties doing caste politics and their leaders are in alliance with BJP. The third Rajbhar fraternity, which was an ally of the BJP in the last assembly elections, is away from the BJP this time. All parties know the power of Rajbhars in Purvanchal. 

In view of this, BJP has taken forward many Rajbhar leaders in the party, SP is also adding established Rajbhar leaders. There is a good number of Rajbhar fraternity on 90 seats from Purvanchal to Avadh. The number of Rajbhar voters in these seats ranges from 25 to 90 thousand. The total number of Rajbhar fraternity in the entire state is 4.5 percent, while in all the districts of Purvanchal, the number of this fraternity is up to 18 percent.