In the Kisan Panchayat of Muzaffarnagar, Rakesh Tikait shouted for defeating the BJP due to the loss of votes. How much effect this appeal will have in the assembly elections to be held in UP and Uttarakhand next year, everyone is engaged in its assessment. Rakesh Tikait says that the BJP's flag was raised in the state from western UP and from here their countdown will also start.
However, contrary to these claims of Rakesh Tikait, Rajendra Kumar Pandey, Professor of Political Science at Chaudhary Charan Singh University, Meerut, says, "I don't think that the Kisan Panchayat and Kisan Andolan will have much impact in the coming assembly elections." Explaining the reason for this, he says, "Not only in Uttar Pradesh but all over India, elections are not fought on issues only. Elections here are based on caste equations and sentiment. It is time for elections, so what steps does the government take in the coming times, it will also be very important to please the angry section.
The equations changed hereafter the 2013 riots
Western Uttar Pradesh was on fire after the 2013 killings in Kawal village in Muzaffarnagar district. After these riots, where the BJP's graph went up sharply in the western north, the Rashtriya Lok Dal of SP, BSP, and Jayant Chaudhary were completely wiped out. In response to the question of whether the incident of 2013 will play an important role in this election, Chhote Miya, the cousin of the head of Kawal village, says, "Look, whether it is development or on the basis of feelings and fraternity on our side during the Kisan Panchayat elections. Votes are cast. That's why I don't think such Muslims who do farming will vote on the basis of farmers' movement."
However, 50-year-old Yogendra Singh, a resident of Jolly village in Muzaffarnagar, says, "There is no doubt that the BJP's seats will decrease in western Uttar Pradesh this time. For the last 9 months, the government is not listening to the farmers who have been agitating." So this time I will not vote for BJP." In response to the farmer's question, who will vote then Yogendra Singh says, "This time our fraternity (Jat) will vote for the candidates of the Rashtriya Lok Dal."
If there is an alliance of RLD and BJP, then in the event of which farmers and Jats who are angry with the government will turn to? Yogendra Singh says, “Our leader should be strong in Lucknow and Delhi. Even if RLD ally with SP or BJP it will not matter. But if there is an alliance of RLD and SP and SP Muslim candidates in our seat. We (Jats) will not vote for them. In this time's assembly elections, Muslims are compelled to vote wherever the Jats will vote against the BJP. We are no longer compelled."
On the political prospects being created after the Kisan Panchayat, Professor Rajendra says, "There are two things. First, through this Kisan Panchayat, Rakesh Tikait wants to increase his political clout. Secondly, the Rashtriya Lok Dal will benefit greatly from the movement or panchayat. Not there.The biggest reason for this is that the influence of the RLD is no longer in the Jats in the way it was during the time of Chaudhary Charan Singh. The elderly Jat still talks about the Chaudhary family (Chowdhary Charan Singh), but the RLD does not have that strong hold on the young voters. Even if Kisan Union and RLD are same but it will benefit them a lot, I don't think so at all. And it is not as if BJP will be cleared in western Uttar Pradesh because of this movement.
Peasant movement does not have wide impact
26-year-old Hemu Vikramaditya, who lives in Muzaffarnagar city, says on the farmers' movement, "The youth and farmers have been a sensitive subject for the people of India. In the present environment, these feelings towards the farmer are being used for personal selfishness and political supremacy. Most of the people who are part of this movement, whose agricultural land is seen, then they will not even have accounts in their names in the village's Khasra-Khatauni.
Even though the BJP is talking about the farmers' movement not having any impact on its electoral prospects, but it is trying to negligible the potential loss. On behalf of the party, there is a strict instruction to the ministers, MLAs and party officials to make more contact with the dissatisfied people and try to persuade them. Experts believe that in the coming days, if the Yogi government makes some big announcements related to farmers, then it will not be surprising.
Many farmers said that if the government increases the sugarcane price by Rs 40-50, gets the sugar mills to pay the dues and gives some relaxation in the electricity rates, then their displeasure will go away to a great extent. He said that he has nothing to do with the farmers' movement or the appeal of Rakesh Tikait.
